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Germany has suffered a drop in exports as the trade tensions swirling around the globe hit Europe’s largest economy.

German exports shrank by 0.8% in September, statistics body Destatis reported this morning, dashing expectations of a 0.3% rise. Imports declined by 0.4% (against expectations of a 0.8% rise).

This shrank Germany’s trade surplus to around €17.6bn, from €18.2bn in August, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Alarmingly, exports were actually lower than in September 2017, even though the world economy has expanded over the last year.

Here’s the details, from Destatis:

Exports, September 2018

  • €109.1bn
  • -0.8% on the previous month (calendar and seasonally adjusted)
  • -1.2% on the same month a year earlier

Imports, September 2018

  • €90.7bn
  • -0.4% on the previous month (calendar and seasonally adjusted)
  • +5.3% on the same month a year earlier

It’s the latest sign that Germany’s economy has slowed sharply this year. Third-quarter GDP figures due next Wednesday may confirm that growth stalled over the summer.

German exporting powerhouse seems to be suffering badly from America’s protectionist stance on trade. The tariffs imposed on EU steel, and a swathe of Chinese products entering the US, are creating new frictions and dampening demand.

Holger Zschaepitz

More econ doom from #Germany: In Sep, exports dropped by 0.8% MoM. German exports have now dropped in 4 out of the last 6 mths, ING says. In the same time, imports decreased by 0.4% MoM, which narrowed trade balance to €17.6bn from €18.2bn, way below forecast of €18bn. pic.twitter.com/fxqugmoNfh

November 8, 2018

Also coming up today

Asian stock markets have rallied, as investors continue to welcome the US election results.

Last night, the Dow jumped by 545 points (or 2.1%), the best day post-midterm rally since 1982, as Wall Street anticipated gridlock in Congress now the Democrats have control of the house.

European markets are likely to gain ground at the open too, with the FTSE 100 called up 20 points:

Mike van Dulken

#FTSE100 called +20pts at 7138 pic.twitter.com/Mdhx0J2y0r

November 8, 2018

The European Commission issues its latest forecasts for the European economy this morning, and may confirm that growth is slowing.

Investors will also be waiting to hear from the US Federal Reserve, when it sets monetary policy tonight. The Fed isn’t expected to raise rates until December, but its views on the US economy may move the markets

The agenda

  • 10am GMT: European Commission
  • 1.30pm GMT: US weekly jobless figures
  • 7pm GMT: Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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